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Kiwi Poll Guy | NZ Election Simulations | kiwipollguy.wordpress.com Reviews
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NZ Election Simulations
Undecided? | Kiwi Poll Guy
https://kiwipollguy.wordpress.com/2014/06/23/undecided
Laquo; iPredict 2014 Election update #4. IPredict 2014 Election update #5. June 23, 2014 by Kiwi Poll Guy. There has been a bit of debate on Twitter about this post at The Political Scientist. Which argues that the National’s rise in the polls is merely the result of Labour voters switching to “undecided” and reducing the denominator. There were also a few requests for an explanation, and Thomas at StatsChat has obliged here. Also, I stole his title). I have a few points I want to add or expand on. The t...
iPredict 2014 Election update #5 | Kiwi Poll Guy
https://kiwipollguy.wordpress.com/2014/09/16/ipredict-2014-election-update-5
IPredict 2014 Election update #5. September 16, 2014 by Kiwi Poll Guy. Following on from previous posts. Another short update on the iPredict stocks for National and Labour to win the 2014 election. Daily average trade prices for National broke through the 80c barrier on 26 June, and Labour went below 20c on the same day. The prices were reasonably stable around those levels for about six weeks until 13 August 2014 when the Dirty Politics. Graph of prices below:. Posted in iPredict Analysis. Leave a Repl...
Archives | Kiwi Poll Guy
https://kiwipollguy.wordpress.com/archives
2008 NZ General Election. 2011 NZ General Election. Tactical and Strategic Voting. Punditocracy – Results. IPredict 2014 Election update #5. IPredict 2014 Election update #4. IPredict 2014 Election #3. IPredict 2014 National stock again. 2014 National win stock on iPredict. Polling Update, 21 April. Polling Update, 4 March. Maori Party Tactical Voting. Final Pre-Election Effective Party Lists. Final Pre-Election Candidate Election Probabilites. Final Pre-Election Polling Update. Tactical voting in Epsom.
Punditocracy – Results | Kiwi Poll Guy
https://kiwipollguy.wordpress.com/2014/09/21/punditocracy-results
Punditocracy – Results. September 21, 2014 by Kiwi Poll Guy. Last night I published. A Google Docs spreadsheet. With a number of predictions for the 2014 Election. Now the results are in I have updated it, and also added a few more sets of predictions from The Ruminator. And added the last single poll predictions from the various media outlets on the advice of Thomas Lumley. On the advice of Thomas. 51) and Bryce Edwards. 53) is technically in 3rd spot, but I’m not going to count that because he le...
iPredict 2014 Election update #4 | Kiwi Poll Guy
https://kiwipollguy.wordpress.com/2014/06/20/ipredict-2014-election-update-4
IPredict 2014 Election update #4. June 20, 2014 by Kiwi Poll Guy. Following on from previous. Another short update on the iPredict stocks for National winning the 2014 election. Daily average trade prices for National have trended up towards 80c, and Labour down toward 20c. Prices are as follows:. Daily average trade price, 2014 election winner stocks on iPredict for National (blue) and Labour (red). Daily average trade price, 2014 election winner stocks on iPredict for National (blue) and Labour (red).
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Offsetting Behaviour: Transfusions and operating room ethics
http://offsettingbehaviour.blogspot.com/2010/05/transfusions-and-operating-room-ethics.html
Tuesday, 4 May 2010. Transfusions and operating room ethics. So I was chatting with the anaesthesiologist during Susan's caesarean section this morning (while peering over the shield to boggle at what all was going on over on the other side). There was some risk that Sue might wind up needing a transfusion as things got a bit complicated. Note: Stress and nervous tension are now serious social problems in all parts of the Galaxy. Me: So, that would take too long then? Her: Well, it's a complicated issue&...
On popularity | The Dim-Post
https://dimpost.wordpress.com/2014/04/02/on-popularity
April 2, 2014. 8212; danylmc @ 8:38 pm. Simon Wilson at Metro writes. It’s a political truism that when you’re up you’re up, so none of your stumbles knock you off your feet. And when you’re down, every little misstep takes you closer to your grave. Prime Minister John Key is so up, he’s dancing on air. How did this happen? It has been clear for at least five years now that when Key is mocked, a large part of the electorate reads the very existence of the ridicule as further evidence that he is the right...
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kiwipolitician© – Spreading Truth in New Zealand and the World.
Spreading Truth in New Zealand and the World. The 4 for 7 President. January 17, 2016. Obama, the 4 for 7 President, thinks he got a real bargain at a Tehran market today. The United States gets 4 U.S. citizens and Iran gets 7 chief convicts. Obama, his charlatan cabinet and the EU can only fool the foolish. The 4 for 7 President. The Day Evil Triumphed over Good: Iran Sanctions Lifted. January 17, 2016. The Day Evil Triumphed over Good: Iran Sanctions Lifted. A New Kind of Intolerance. January 8, 2016.
Kiwipolitico
New Zealand goes it alone. Posted on 18:47, March 28th, 2018 by Pablo. So why has New Zealand chosen to isolate, or perhaps better said, alienate itself from its traditional allies and major security partners? Russia is counterproductive at best. With that in mind the question remains: what exactly were the reasons for this move and what does the New Zealand Labour government expect to gain from its contrarian (even if principled) stance? A shorter version of this post appears in The Guardian. This is wh...
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Kiwi Poll Guy | NZ Election Simulations
March 28, 2015 by Kiwi Poll Guy. Following on from my recent victory as New Zealand’s Next Top Political Pundit. After the 2014 election I’ve decided to go all-in on National winning the the Northland by-election. Being held today. A month-or-so ago I thought they were absolutely guaranteed to win, and started buying iPredict stocks on a National victory. Thinks National will win because of their ground game. Polity’s (March 25) “prediction remains a solid National win”. If he does succeed in putting the...
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Gone Sailing
There are two things to aim at in life: first,. To get what you want; and, after that, to enjoy it. Only the wisest of mankind achieve the second. Logan P. Smith.
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