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Will Opines | Commentary on human rights, conflict, teaching, life as an aspie, and whatever else strikes my fancy. | willopines.wordpress.com Reviews
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Commentary on human rights, conflict, teaching, life as an aspie, and whatever else strikes my fancy. (by Will H. Moore)
willopines.wordpress.com
Subpoena the Email, Text & Social Media Messages of Hempstead Jail Staff | Will Opines
https://willopines.wordpress.com/2015/07/23/subpoena-the-email-text-social-media-messages-of-hempstead-jail-staff
Commentary on human rights, conflict, teaching, life as an aspie, and whatever else strikes my fancy. SandraBland, #DWB, #VRA, For Profit Policing, Warrior Cops, the Blue Wall of Silence and All That. Abstract Concepts, Pejorative Terms, and Peace Science →. Subpoena the Email, Text and Social Media Messages of Hempstead Jail Staff. July 23, 2015. Will H. Moore. There is one thing that Waller County DA Elton Mathis. Can do to break the Blue Wall of Silence. I discussed in a post. But if Ms Bland kept up ...
Breaking Down Racism in Amy Schumer’s Comedy | Will Opines
https://willopines.wordpress.com/2015/07/09/breaking-down-racism-in-amy-schumers-comedy
Commentary on human rights, conflict, teaching, life as an aspie, and whatever else strikes my fancy. The Counter-Enlightenment and the Confederate Flag. Trolling for Resurrection: The Death Throes of a Network, or the Success of Science →. Breaking Down Racism in Amy Schumer’s Comedy. July 9, 2015. Will H. Moore. Fair warning: this is a somewhat lengthy post. In my view there is much more poor analysis than useful discussion about comedy, so I am using this instance to speak broadly to that issue. 8221;...
How to Help White Folks Discuss Race? | Will Opines
https://willopines.wordpress.com/2015/07/04/how-to-help-white-folks-discuss-race
Commentary on human rights, conflict, teaching, life as an aspie, and whatever else strikes my fancy. Discussing #CharlestonShooting, #BlackLivesMatter, and Systemic Racism, US Stylee. The Counter-Enlightenment and the Confederate Flag →. How to Help White Folks Discuss Race? July 4, 2015. Will H. Moore. Last Monday Erica Chenoweth. And I had an informal discussion about race in America. We posted it to YouTube. 1] Two days later. The New York Times. Big surprise, right? Is going to publish for all to see.
#SandraBland, #DWB, #VRA, For Profit Policing, Warrior Cops, the Blue Wall of Silence and All That | Will Opines
https://willopines.wordpress.com/2015/07/23/sandrabland-dwb-vra-for-profit-policing-warrior-cops-the-blue-wall-of-silence-and-all-that
Commentary on human rights, conflict, teaching, life as an aspie, and whatever else strikes my fancy. Trolling for Resurrection: The Death Throes of a Network, or the Success of Science. Subpoena the Email, Text and Social Media Messages of Hempstead Jail Staff →. SandraBland, #DWB, #VRA, For Profit Policing, Warrior Cops, the Blue Wall of Silence and All That. July 23, 2015. Will H. Moore. Waller County, TX. Waller County, TX in 2010. The Texas State Handbook of History has a useful entry. For learning ...
A Shout-out to David Davis | Will Opines
https://willopines.wordpress.com/2014/05/08/a-shout-out-to-david-davis
Commentary on human rights, conflict, teaching, life as an aspie, and whatever else strikes my fancy. Boko Haram is Winning, and You are Helping. Academic Authors, Please Negotiate your Book’s Price →. A Shout-out to David Davis. May 8, 2014. Will H. Moore. Props to my co-author, former grad school roommate and office mate, and Mike Ward. Student, David Davis. Who has been doing his part to train women who are impacting what we know about international politics. About Will H. Moore. Charles Tilly, Throwi...
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Tenacious Muse: May 2015
http://tenaciousmuse.blogspot.com/2015_05_01_archive.html
Musings and thoughts that just won't go away - so I write them down here. Friday, May 22, 2015. Beating a Dead Horse: The Student Disengagement Myth and Real-Life Impact. Just to poke Mark Bauerline. With a stick one more time:. As my friend Steve Saideman. Pointed out in his response to Bauerline's piece, the argument relies largely on "anecdata" - individual observations (why aren't there students lined up in the hall of the English department at UCLA? 8226; At a subsequent retirement dinner, three rec...
Tenacious Muse: March 2015
http://tenaciousmuse.blogspot.com/2015_03_01_archive.html
Musings and thoughts that just won't go away - so I write them down here. Monday, March 23, 2015. The Challenge of Scientific 'Controversies'. I wrote a little over a month ago about the use of the term "research". In public arguments over science. I argued at the time, and still maintain, that people often claim to have done "research" when what they really mean is that they have (very selectively) read other people's research. Of course, many of those who try to stir up "controversy" on scientific subj...
The right kind of variance | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/2014/10/06/the-right-kind-of-variance
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. October 6, 2014. The right kind of variance. Or, How I learned to stop worrying and love event data. The reason for this is obvious when you consider the underlying variance structure. First, to predict something that changes, say dissident-government conflict. The nature of relationships between political parties. You need predictors that change. In fact, with enough data, you are bound to find some correlations purely due to chance. So sometimes it’s good to have co...Coding ...
Games on networks, with application to Thai politics | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/2013/10/19/games-on-networks-with-application-to-thai-politics
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. October 19, 2013. Games on networks, with application to Thai politics. The top rug shows the different parties that are in power in Thailand during the observation period, with markers for changes in power. The bottom plot shows conflictual events in Thailand from 1998 on. Six dead in shootout in Thai south. Thailand begins monitoring of Facebook, YouTube and LINE. Next post →. Predictive Heuristics is the Ward Lab's blog. We also live on this website. Here are our members.
Prediction versus Explanation? | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/2013/10/31/prediction-versus-explanation
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. October 31, 2013. Is an early warning system designed to help US policy analysts predict a variety of international crises. This project was created at the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency in 2007. Gated) described the early phase of the project in 2010, including assessments of its accuracy, and a WIRED article in 2011 criticized ICEWS. For missing the Arab Spring–at a time when the project was only focused on Asia. In an article ( here for now. In Foreign Policy,.
Political Parties, the Eurozone Crisis, and ICEWS Data | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/2014/01/16/political-parties-the-eurozone-crisis-and-icews-data
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. January 16, 2014. Political Parties, the Eurozone Crisis, and ICEWS Data. Large-scale event data based on worldwide media reports already help us to explain and forecast crises events. Such as civil wars or insurgencies. But the millions of data points provided by ICEWS or GDELT. Are a treasure trove for social scientists interested in all kinds of topics, whether they involve violence or not. And the Comparative Manifestos Project. I use the ICEWS event data to analyze the way...
cassyld | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/author/cassyld
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. Civilian Victimization and Social Networks. September 9, 2014. This question eventually led me to co-organize a national survey in Mexico in July 2012, with my colleague Sandra Ley Gutierrez, focusing on the consequences of criminal victimization. In this survey, I collected original data on 1,000 kinship networks as a way to capture social networks at the individual level. Predictive Heuristics is the Ward Lab's blog. We also live on this website. Here are our members.
实验室文章：迈向冲突预测的新时代 | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/2014/08/27/实验室文章：迈向冲突预测的新时代
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. August 27, 2014. 为了呈现冲突研究在过去几年的重大进展，本文重新检视Fearon and Laitin (2003)这份奠定冲突研究基础的文献，从而比较和凸显预测分析在近几年的进展。 站在修正Fearon and Laitin的基础上，我们利用年度层次以下的事件时间解析数据来建构冲突预测模型，并且运用层级模型(hierarchical model)来追踪估计变量在不同国家属性群集中的变化。 在左边的红线表示负向的错误预测(false negative)，但在右边白色表示正向的错误预测(false positive)，一个高配适度的预测应该会有比较多的红色部分 事件发生 在图的右侧。 Next post →. Predictive Heuristics is the Ward Lab's blog. We also live on this website. Which has our conflict forecasts. Here are our members. Good coup, bad coup.
Civilian Victimization and Social Networks | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/2014/09/09/civilian-victimization-and-social-networks
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. September 9, 2014. Civilian Victimization and Social Networks. This question eventually led me to co-organize a national survey in Mexico in July 2012, with my colleague Sandra Ley Gutierrez, focusing on the consequences of criminal victimization. In this survey, I collected original data on 1,000 kinship networks as a way to capture social networks at the individual level. Find out more at cassydorff.com. For more information and contact details, please visit cassydorff.com.
Tenacious Muse: Religious Convictions, Public Behavior, and the Mythical Quest for Purity
http://tenaciousmuse.blogspot.com/2015/07/religious-convictions-public-behavior.html
Musings and thoughts that just won't go away - so I write them down here. Friday, July 10, 2015. Religious Convictions, Public Behavior, and the Mythical Quest for Purity. Just because someone takes a job with the government does not mean they give up their First Amendment rights." A cake baker has apparently also decided to take his case to court. Lest he be sanctioned for discriminating against gay couples in the making of wedding cakes. The 1967 Supreme Court decision which struck down laws outlawing ...
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willopervest55 | Smile! You’re at the best WordPress.com site ever
You’re at the best WordPress.com site ever. November 15, 2012. Welcome to WordPress.com. This is your very first post. Click the Edit link to modify or delete it, or start a new post. If you like, use this post to tell readers why you started this blog and what you plan to do with it. Blog at WordPress.com. Blog at WordPress.com.
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Will Opines | Commentary on human rights, conflict, teaching, life as an aspie, and whatever else strikes my fancy.
Commentary on human rights, conflict, teaching, life as an aspie, and whatever else strikes my fancy. Subpoena the Email, Text and Social Media Messages of Hempstead Jail Staff. July 23, 2015. Will H. Moore. There is one thing that Waller County DA Elton Mathis. Can do to break the Blue Wall of Silence. I discussed in a post. Yesterday, and reach a firm conclusion about the cause of Sandra Bland’s death. But if Ms Bland kept up her taunting throughout the weekend, and someone at the jail lost their cool ...
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Mot de passe :. J'ai oublié mon mot de passe. Evasion d'une poketwillo. Ecriture qui libere l'esprit qui m'eleve puis me fuit.inspiration soudaine .mots comblant les vide. Mini pouce city (30). Mise à jour :. T'es arrivier dans ma vie comme un. Abonne-toi à mon blog! N'oublie pas que les propos injurieux, racistes, etc. sont interdits par les conditions générales d'utilisation de Skyrock et que tu peux être identifié par ton adresse internet (54.145.69.42) si quelqu'un porte plainte. Ou poster avec :.
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